Chris Gerlacher

Seemingly overnight, Americans learned they could legally bet on the U.S. election. Kalshi had defeated the CFTC’s effort to block...

Polymarket’s VP debate winner market shows why it’s so important to read prediction market settlement terms. The vice presidential debate between...

On Wednesday, Oct. 2, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals dissolved the stay preventing Kalshi from offering its election markets....

Kalshi has launched its election markets, making it the first regulated election trading site in the United States. New customers...

In an email sent to its clients on Wednesday, Oct. 2, Interactive Brokers announced that it would offer election contracts....

The prediction market industry is beginning to resemble the sports betting industry. Regulations haven’t caught up with the products that...

Although it’s less consequential than the presidential debate, the VP debate saw more dramatic market uncertainty than its presidential counterpart. Most...

The October Surprise is a crucial moment in the presidential election season. However, its unpredictability makes it a moment that...

On Sept. 25, Manifold Markets announced that it would begin offering cash prizes. Manifold will designate select markets “sweepstakes questions.”...

On Oct. 1, J.D. Vance and Tim Walz will face off in a CBS debate. The VP debates' goals and...