Prediction Market News

One of Donald Trump’s unpredictable staff picks is Kash Patel for FBI director. Kalshi’s FBI director market opened on Nov....

Prediction markets have begun pricing Donald Trump’s unpredictability into their Cabinet markets. To begin the week, Kalshi’s Secretary of Defense...

Election betting is on hiatus (well, sort of), but prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are still booming. From...

On Jan. 17, 2025, Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will have their second set of oral arguments...

After promising not to pardon Hunter Biden, President Joe Biden reversed course and issued the controversial pardon for his son...

In his biography of Elon Musk, Walter Isaacson recounts how Musk became the CEO of Tesla. After ousting the original...

Federal Representative Eros Biondini has introduced a groundbreaking bill to establish the Sovereign Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (RESBit) in Brazil. The...

With prediction markets skyrocketing in popularity in the politics space, top prediction markets have also spawned markets betting on the...

President-elect Donald Trump's potential establishment of a national Bitcoin reserve is gathering steam with approximately 300 pro-crypto lawmakers preparing to...

PredictIt, an academic prediction market run by the Victoria University of Wellington, has offered election contracts since 2014. It has...