Measles, once declared eliminated in the United States, is making a dangerous comeback.
With over 1,200 confirmed cases and multiple deaths reported in 2025 alone, the nation is facing its worst outbreak in more than three decades.
Kalshi traders think there’s a 92% chance there will be over 1,500 measles cases this year alone. Yeesh. Thanks, RFK.
From West Texas to North Dakota, 10 U.S. hotspots are driving the surge — fueled by vaccine hesitancy, misinformation, and crumbling public health infrastructure. This isn’t a regional issue — it’s a national warning.
Ground Zero: Texas
West Texas is the epicenter, with 740+ cases and two child fatalities.
Local health systems are overwhelmed, and vaccination rates in some counties have dropped below 85%.
New Mexico and Kansas
New Mexico reports a third death linked to the Texas spread.
In Kansas, 24 children were infected in a devastating localized outbreak, raising alarms about pediatric vulnerability.
Northern Plains Hotspots
North Dakota has the highest per capita rate in the country.
Montana and Oklahoma also face growing clusters, driven by low vaccination and poor rural health infrastructure.
Midwestern Spread
Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, and Illinois report ongoing or recently closed outbreaks.
Many are linked to migrant shelters and urban school districts with lagging immunization.
The Root Problem
92% of cases are among the unvaccinated or those with unknown status.
Vaccine misinformation, fear, and political resistance are fueling the resurgence.
Infrastructure in Crisis
Public health funding cuts, especially in states like Texas, have left communities without the staff, labs, or outreach needed to respond quickly or educate effectively.
Global Pressure
Surges in Mexico and Canada are contributing to cross-border spread.
U.S. hotspots often track closely with major transit corridors and migrant populations.
The Warning Shot
The measles comeback isn’t just a public health failure — it’s a flashing red light.
Without renewed focus on vaccination and infrastructure, more deadly outbreaks are inevitable.
