Traders and Forecasters
Domer (@domahhhh on X)
The trader known as Domer is one of the top prediction market traders in the game, and an essential account to follow on X no matter your trading acumen. He won’t give away his moves before they happen, but, after the fact, he often breaks down his largest trades—win or lose—and there’s always a lesson to take away.
So I just managed to make $100k on predicting the new pope today.
— Domer (@Domahhhh) May 8, 2025
If you're interested in reading how, I'll fully go through it. If you aren't, then see ya! But please say a quick prayer that I don't get excommunicated, thx.
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Alright, so normally I don't like to talk about…
‘Belikewater’ (@just_Curious on X)
A professional forecaster with the Sentinel Global Risk Watch forecasting team, which works to protect “against difficult-to-envision threats by forecasting near-term risks, detecting black swans earlier, and deploying our emergency response team to take mitigating action,” she was among the first to see that Israel strikes on Iran were imminent. She’s a great follow specifically for those trading geopolitics on Polymarket or anyone looking to better understand major events happening around the world.
Prediction: all this US military buildup in Diego Garcia (B-2s, C-17As, etc.) over the past couple days and still ongoing is for an attack on Iran. I give it a 65% chance that we'll see an attack on Iran sometime between a couple days from now and a month from now. 1/5
— Just Curious (@Just_Curius) March 25, 2025
Gaeten Dugas (@GaetenD on X)
A part-time trader who has made a whopping $300,000 trading Rotten Tomatoes scores and music charts occasionally shares his insights with on X.
The Spotify markets have gotten a lot sharper, but every once in a while there is still a great opportunity. Today, for example. The market has priced in the assumption that it will be either luther or What Was That, not realizing there is another song with a great shot at #1. pic.twitter.com/RwszZDmyxf
— Gaeten Dugas (@GaetenD) April 25, 2025
Jgalt (@JgaltTweets on X)
A forecaster on the prediction market platform Metaculus, Jgalt stays on top of breaking news, AI risks, and global politics.
Quick guide to the events of 2024
— JgaltTweets (@JgaltTweets) January 1, 2024
January
10th-20th: D.C. circuit denies Trump immunity
15th: Trump wins Iowa
23rd: Trump wins New Hampshire
Unknown: Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, and Vivek Ramaswamy end their campaigns; Supreme Court agrees to hear Trump Colorado ballot case
Zub (@ZubbyBadger on X)
He’s not nearly as active on X as Gaeten or Domer but he has profited more than $1M on Kalshi, which is a good enough reason to give him a follow.
I’m sorry. I owe Kalshi a lot and appreciate basically every thing they’ve done for Prediction Markets, but the second they offered sports betting, these states taking this action was inevitable. I’m surprised it took so long.
— Zub (@ZubbyBadger) March 30, 2025
The problem isn’t states not understanding… https://t.co/J6CQ5C7xkq
