Political Prediction Market News

Since the beginning of October, the price of Donald Trump’s electoral victory on prediction markets has soared. On PredictIt, Trump’s...

Across prediction markets, presidential election odds have swung to Trump. Kalshi’s and Polymarket’s presidential election markets show Donald Trump ahead...

As federal corruption charges loom over New York City Mayor Eric Adams, speculation about his potential early departure is intensifying.  On...

Throughout October, Donald Trump’s presidential election prices moved strongly in his favor. Kalshi’s price on Trump’s electoral victory is eight...

The devastation wrought by hurricanes Helene and Milton has refocused many Americans' attention on climate change. However, a contingent of...

October has been a tough month for Harris in the prediction markets. Harris’ PredictIt price fell from 55 cents on...

On the morning of Oct. 7, Donald Trump's chances of victory surged from 51% to over 54% on Polymarket while...

Seemingly overnight, Americans learned they could legally bet on the U.S. election. Kalshi had defeated the CFTC’s effort to block...

Polymarket’s VP debate winner market shows why it’s so important to read prediction market settlement terms.  The vice presidential debate between...

On Wednesday, Oct. 2, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals dissolved the stay preventing Kalshi from offering its election markets....