Politics

On Thursday, Nov. 21, former Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz withdrew from the nomination process to become Donald Trump’s attorney general. Gaetz’s...

President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks have included both predictable choices and complete surprises. Some of those surprises have been lucrative...

Election Day is over, polls have closed, and Donald Trump is now the President-elect, but it’s not too early to...

Donald Trump’s Secretary of Defense pick showed how well prediction markets respond to new information – and how limited public...

On Wednesday, Nov. 13, Senate Republicans will cast a secret ballot to choose the next Senate Majority Leader. The Senate...

Kalshi has already launched its 2028 presidential markets, and major Republican figures already have money on them. J.D. Vance has...

Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, his Cabinet members are the next clues foreshadowing how the...

Prediction markets have seen three phases of bettors: early traders, live traders, and the second winds. These traders bet at...

The presidential election is here. Many of us will be walking to the polls and casting our votes throughout the...

2024 is the prediction market election. Spearheaded by industry hegemons Polymarket and Kalshi, election betting interest has surged, injecting election odds into...