Donald Trump’s Secretary of Defense pick showed how well prediction markets respond to new information – and how limited public...

On Wednesday, Nov. 13, Senate Republicans will cast a secret ballot to choose the next Senate Majority Leader. The Senate...

Kalshi has already launched its 2028 presidential markets, and major Republican figures already have money on them. J.D. Vance has...

Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, his Cabinet members are the next clues foreshadowing how the...

Presidential election markets are the largest markets on prediction market platforms. For example, Kalshi’s presidential election market had over $400...

In the early hours of Nov. 6, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, vindicating prediction markets that favored Trump...

Prediction markets have seen three phases of bettors: early traders, live traders, and the second winds. These traders bet at...

On Oct. 29, Kalshi showed Trump with a 64.6% chance of winning and Harris at 35.4%. Over the weekend, the...

Everyone wants to know who will win the 2024 presidential race so they can sleep soundly again. There are a...

As prediction markets gained new prominence during the 2024 presidential race, prediction market prices have been conflated with polls and...