Chris Gerlacher

The prediction market industry is beginning to resemble the sports betting industry. Regulations haven’t caught up with the products that...

Although it’s less consequential than the presidential debate, the VP debate saw more dramatic market uncertainty than its presidential counterpart. Most...

The October Surprise is a crucial moment in the presidential election season. However, its unpredictability makes it a moment that...

On Sept. 25, Manifold Markets announced that it would begin offering cash prizes. Manifold will designate select markets “sweepstakes questions.”...

On Oct. 1, J.D. Vance and Tim Walz will face off in a CBS debate. The VP debates' goals and...

On Tuesday, Sept. 24, Polymarket's total trading volume for the 2024 U.S. presidential election winner surpassed $1 billion, highlighting the growing...

J.D. Vance and Tim Walz will face off in their first and possibly only debate on Oct. 1. Their debate...

Several finance companies have created prediction markets, but traders must hold their contracts to maturity for a chance at a...

On Thursday, Sept. 19, Kalshi and the CFTC argued before the United States Court of Appeals for the District of...

Proponents of prediction markets often highlight markets’ ability to reward unique information. Traders have an edge when they know something...