Chris Gerlacher

Prediction markets may show Donald Trump with an easy lead over Kamala Harris, but the size of his lead must...

One of the nice things about prediction markets is that each one comes with its own settlement terms. Properly written,...

The 2024 presidential race was contentious even before 2024. As Donald Trump entered the new year, he did so on...

The legal battle between Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is heating up again. On Oct. 11, the...

Since the beginning of October, the price of Donald Trump’s electoral victory on prediction markets has soared. On PredictIt, Trump’s...

Across prediction markets, presidential election odds have swung to Trump. Kalshi’s and Polymarket’s presidential election markets show Donald Trump ahead...

Throughout October, Donald Trump’s presidential election prices moved strongly in his favor. Kalshi’s price on Trump’s electoral victory is eight...

The devastation wrought by hurricanes Helene and Milton has refocused many Americans' attention on climate change. However, a contingent of...

October has been a tough month for Harris in the prediction markets. Harris’ PredictIt price fell from 55 cents on...

On the morning of Oct. 7, Donald Trump's chances of victory surged from 51% to over 54% on Polymarket while...