What Prediction Markets Are Saying About Trump’s Cabinet Nominations
Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, his Cabinet members are the next clues foreshadowing how the...
How Much Presidential Trading Happened on Election Day?
Presidential election markets are the largest markets on prediction market platforms. For example, Kalshi’s presidential election market had over $400...
Election Night Winners: Trump and the Prediction Markets That Called It
In the early hours of Nov. 6, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, vindicating prediction markets that favored Trump...
Three Phases of Election Trading: Expect More Bets on Election Day and Beyond
Prediction markets have seen three phases of bettors: early traders, live traders, and the second winds. These traders bet at...
Why Harris vs. Trump Odds Narrowed Over the Weekend
On Oct. 29, Kalshi showed Trump with a 64.6% chance of winning and Harris at 35.4%. Over the weekend, the...
Five Election Betting Trends That Have Predicted the Presidential Winner
Everyone wants to know who will win the 2024 presidential race so they can sleep soundly again. There are a...
What’s the Difference Between Polls, Betting Odds, and Prediction Market Prices?
As prediction markets gained new prominence during the 2024 presidential race, prediction market prices have been conflated with polls and...
Kalshi Presidential Market Hits $100 Million. Can It Reach $1 Billion?
On Oct. 29, Kalshi’s presidential election winner market reached $100 million in trading volume. It’s a large milestone that shows...
Why Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden Rally Won’t Hurt His Election Odds
On Oct. 27, Donald Trump held a rally at Madison Square Garden. It included racist remarks from the opening comedian...
Pennsylvania Election Predictions: Value on Kamala Harris and David McCormick, Plus More Betting Notes
Pennsylvania is one of the most important states in the 2024 presidential election. It has 19 electoral college votes, the...
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