Chris Gerlacher

Despite a bribery scandal that threatened his governorship, Eric Adams has not only survived but also built an alliance with...

Trump’s fourth week resolved some prediction markets and riled others. While much focus remained on Trump’s remaining Cabinet nominees, government...

According to prediction markets, Trump’s Labor secretary nominee will get fewer votes than previously thought. Democratic outrage at DOGE’s budget...

On Wednesday, the prediction market Kalshi’s forecast of Trump visiting Russia almost tripled from 24% to 68%. Trump held a...

On Thursday, Robert Kennedy Jr. received 52 votes to become Trump’s Secretary of Health and Human Services. Mitch McConnell joined...

Market makers might not be the first things casual traders think about, but as prediction markets grow, they are turning...

On Wednesday, the Senate confirmed Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence (DNI). Gabbard received 52 votes with one Republican,...

On Tuesday night, Bloomberg News reported that Trump will choose Brian Quintenz to lead the CFTC. Quintenz is a board...

In his first three weeks in office, 13 of Trump’s 18 Cabinet nominees were confirmed by the Senate. Two of...

Since the start of February, the odds of a government shutdown have roughly doubled from 32% to 63% on prediction...